Chiefs 27, Bills 24: After extensive simulations, our model gives the Chiefs a win probability of 59%, while the Bills have a win probability of 41%. Kickoff time: 4:25 p.m. at Highmark Stadium

One of the Buffalo Bills' most important players surprisingly popped up on the injury report this week, but the Bills got good news on Friday.

The Bills have the Chiefs' number in regular-season play. They are 5-1 against Kansas City in regular-season meetings since 2017 and won each of the last four matchups. It is when the stakes are at their highest that the Chiefs take control. They won each of the four playoff showdowns since Mahomes and Allen joined their respective teams.

The Bills will have both Matt Milano and Terrel Bernard back, but another linebacker will not play against the Chiefs.

Buffalo Bills' running back James Cook is earning every bit of his new contract with a historical seven-game start to the season.

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During the game, Oliver was quickly ruled out. Oliver has since been placed on injured reserve by the Bills. In sitting out, Oliver joins DaQuan Jones (calf) on the team's list of hurt players that have not played recently. That means both of Buffalo's starting defensive tackles are injured.