With Florida's Gulf Coast left reeling after back-to-back major hurricanes, our Tracking the Tropics team explains what could spare the region from experiencing a third storm within a month.

Forecasters are monitoring a disturbance located over the Atlantic Ocean that could become a tropical depression late this week as it nears the Caribbean’s Leeward Islands. As of 8 p.m. Sunday, it had a 40% chance of forming in the next seven days — up from 30% earlier — and 10% in the next 48 hours,