New polling from Liaison Strategies finds a statistical tie in popular support and a gradual softening in government approval. Read the full analysis → 338 Year-End Note: Thank You December 31, 2025 …

Complete map of latest 338Canada Electoral Projection Last update: January 4, 2026

Find the latest Canada polls and electoral projections on 338Canada.

Jul 16, 2023 · 338Canadais a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data.

Jan 4, 2026 · likely likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 2. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 3. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 4. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 5. Lac-Saint …

338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This website is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics …

For more information of the 338 Ratings of Canadian Pollsters, visit this page. Here is the basic equation: The gamma exponent is usually ½ (hence, the square root of the sample size). The time …

Jan 4, 2026 · Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Dec 20, 2025 · 338Canada Projection Map | British Columbia Simple riding map | Geographic riding map (28Mb) Latest update : December 20, 2025

May 4, 2020 · This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and …